🏈 Hey, Let’s Go!, I’m thinking Bears vs Cowboys
Sunday recap from Sunday slates will be out on Monday afternoon below:
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Snuggle up in your favorite chair and grab some popcorn and your favorite drink, because this game will be fun to watch!
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Here’s My Criteria for Quarterback:
1) Can they put up 325 passing yards
2) Can they throw for 3 TDs (When you add criteria 1 and 2 together, that gets me to 28 DK points)
3) Can they rush for 20 yards if so (All 3 criteria together put me over 30 DK points
I landed on Caleb Williams being the guy in Week 3 even though he will be high-owned by the field. I’ll eat the chalk, he can get there with his legs as well as passing. He has 2 great receivers to pass too.
Caleb Williams QB, Bears
Winning the Milly Maker often requires thinking outside the box, and I construct rosters with a target outcome of 214 points.
The success of this approach varies—sometimes it proves effective, while other times it doesn’t. But, I am playing for first place. If you’re curious about what I mean by this, check out this site for further details.. “Playing For First’ in NFL.”
Side Note: I feel very uncomfortable about the lineup below, but that is a good thing, because if I am right I have a great chance to hit for first place.
Afterall, I am going up against in the Milly Maker over 300,000 lineups. My lineup most be different to win.
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Here’s One of My Lineups in Week 3
Quarterback: Caleb Williams ($5,600)
2025 Season Performance:
Caleb Williams (QB, Bears) remains a focal point in Chicago’s offense.
Week 2 vs. Lions: 19-of-30 for 207 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, plus 27 rushing yards. He showed poise under pressure, using his legs to extend plays and keep the offense moving.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Given he can still add rushing yards, and connected on multiple TDs even in a lopsided loss, he carries upside in favorable matchups. A 2-TD game plus some ground yardage pushes his ceiling into tournament territory.
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Running Backs: Javonte Williams ($6,100) & Travis, Etienne Jr ($5,900)
Running Back: Javonte Williams ($6,100)
2025 Season Performance:
Javonte Williams (RB, Cowboys) has established himself as Dallas’s workhorse.
Week 2 vs. Giants: 18 carries for 97 yards and 1 touchdown. His downhill running style wore down New York’s defense and secured control of the game.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
With that volume of carries and ability to find the end zone, his upside is very strong—especially if game flow gives him more opportunities near the goal line.
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Running Back: Travis, Etienne Jr ($5,900)
2025 Season Performance
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB, Jaguars) continues to produce in bursts.
Week 2 vs. Bengals: 17 carries for 71 yards, plus 4 receptions for 43 yards. His versatility as both a runner and receiver kept Cincinnati’s defense off balance.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Every chunk run, especially when mixed with receiving or goal-line work, gives him upside to top 20–25 DK points. If one of his carries breaks long, he can be a slate differentiator.
Wide Receivers: DJ Moore($5,400), Rome Odunze ($5,300), CeeDee Lamb ($8,000)
Wide Receiver: DJ Moore ($5,400)
2025 Season Performance
DJ Moore (WR, Bears) had a modest stat line in Week 2.
Week 2 vs. Lions: 5 catches for 46 yards. He provided steady chain-moving production, though big-play chances were limited.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Moore’s target share remains solid, and in games where the Bears’ passing game has to rally, he holds value. He needs a TD or a couple long catches to break out.
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Wide Receiver: Rome Odunze ($5,300)
2025 Season Performance
Rome Odunze (WR, Bears) continues to flash superstar potential as a rookie.
Week 2 vs. Lions: 6 catches for 102 yards and 1 touchdown. His explosiveness and ability to stretch the field gave Chicago a dynamic spark.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
With his explosive after-catch skills, Odunze can post a 30+ point game on limited touches. If Williams locks onto him in the red zone, he’s a true GPP hammer.
Wide Receiver: CeeDee Lamb ($8,000)
2025 Season Performance
CeeDee Lamb (WR, Cowboys) continued his dominance as one of the league’s premier wide receivers, coming off a 2024 season where he tallied 1,476 yards and 12 touchdowns. His route-running and target share make him Dak Prescott’s unquestioned WR1.
Week 2 vs. Giants: 9 receptions on 12 targets for 118 yards and a touchdown. Lamb consistently created separation and punished single coverage all game.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
With double-digit targets as his weekly baseline, Lamb’s ability to stack 100-yard bonuses with touchdowns gives him 30+ point upside. He’s one of the safest high-ceiling plays on any slate.
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Tight End: Juwan Johnson ($3,900)
2025 Season Performance
Juwan Johnson (TE, Saints) continues to be a red-zone threat.
Week 2 vs. 49ers: 5 catches for 49 yards and 1 touchdown. He continued to shine as a trusted red-zone weapon for Spencer Rattler.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
At tight end, scoring is often the key. With consistent volume, especially in the red zone, a multi-TD game or big yardage is in play if matchup favors him.
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FLEX: Wide Receiver: Kenneth Walker ($5,800)
2025 Season Performance
Kenneth Walker III (RB, Seahawks) delivered when needed in Week 2.
Week 2 vs. Steelers: 19 carries for 105 yards and 1 touchdown, plus 2 receptions for 17 yards.
His burst was evident in multiple chunk runs.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
That kind of performance gives him a high ceiling. When Seattle leans on him, he has the explosiveness to post 25-30+ DK points, especially with goal-line work.
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Defense/Special Teams: Green Bay Packers ($3,700)
2025 Season Performance
Packers DST had a strong showing in their Week 2 matchup.
Week 2 vs. Washington Commanders: Packers won 27-18. DST contributed sacks, pressure, and limited turnovers. While I didn’t find exact fantasy-scoring detail, their defense held Washington’s offense short in multiple drives.
Why They Can Win You the Milly
As always, if they get 3-4 sacks, force turnovers, maybe a defensive score, they punch above their value. Good matchup + strong defensive front = high upside.
✅ Why This Lineup Can Win the Milly
This build stacks Caleb Williams’ dual-threat ability with his explosive rookie wideout Rome Odunze, pairing passing volume with big-play upside that can easily combine for 50+ fantasy points. Adding DJ Moore ensures exposure to Chicago’s short-to-intermediate target hog, giving this stack both floor and ceiling.
Javonte Williams and Travis Etienne Jr. provide balance in the backfield — Javonte as a workhorse runner with red-zone equity, and Etienne as a versatile dual-threat back capable of breaking long plays or piling up receptions. Kenneth Walker III adds another slate-breaking rusher with home-run potential, giving the lineup three backs who can each deliver 100+ yards and a touchdown.
CeeDee Lamb anchors the receiving corps as a true WR1 with double-digit target upside, while Juwan Johnson offers leverage at tight end with touchdown-scoring potential in a Saints offense that relies on him in the red zone.
Finally, the Packers DST adds turnover and defensive touchdown equity, fresh off a dominant showing that demonstrates their ceiling. Every player in this lineup has a path to 20+ fantasy points, and multiple have 30+ point ceilings, creating the kind of ceiling-driven build capable of taking down the Milly.
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MONDAY RECAP
How I did Boom or Bust; “Monday Morning Quarterbacking”
Hello, all it’s a Monday and time to look back and say to myself, what I should’ve, could’ve, and would’ve done differently, as a DFS player.
I used to spend most of my time looking forward to the next slate, the next season, and so forth. I find it equally important to stop, take a breath, and start looking back at the process that led me to a winning or losing lineup.
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Here are my thoughts on this lineup.
Quarterback – Caleb Williams ($5,600, 14.6% owned) → 29.12 DK points
This was the one shining star. Four touchdowns, nearly 300 yards, and some rushing gave me a true ceiling score at modest ownership. Caleb smashed — but his stack pieces didn’t fully match his output, which left me stuck in the middle of the pack.
Running Back 1 – Javonte Williams ($6,100, 19.9% owned) → 13.20 DK points
Decent usage but capped. He had almost 100 total yards, but the fumble hurt, and he didn’t find the end zone. With ~20% ownership, a middling score like this doesn’t separate me from the field.
Running Back 2 – Travis Etienne Jr. ($5,900, 6.1% owned) → 11.60 DK points
Etienne got the touchdown but little else. Fine as a floor play, but in GPPs, 11.6 doesn’t cut it. He didn’t correlate with the rest of my build either, making him an isolated “meh” piece.
Wide Receiver 1 – CeeDee Lamb ($8,000, 36.1% owned) → 0.00 DK points
🩹 CeeDee Lamb Injury Impact
Since he was my highest-priced WR and a key part of the Dallas/Chicago stack, losing Lamb meant my correlation failed too — Caleb Williams’ 4 passing TDs couldn’t fully pay me off because his main stack partner was gone.
Lamb left the game injured and never recorded a stat, which is why I ate the 0.0 DK points. At 36% ownership, half the field essentially sank with him, but in the Milly Maker I can’t survive that kind of chalk injury bust.
The top lineups pivoted to other WRs in the same price range (like Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase, or even mid-tier breakout plays) and avoided the landmine.
Wide Receiver 2 – DJ Moore ($5,400, 11.2% owned) → 12.80 DK points
Moore salvaged his day with a touchdown, but only 21 receiving yards meant no real ceiling. In a game where Caleb threw four TDs, Moore’s modest production capped my stacking upside.
Wide Receiver 3 – Rome Odunze ($5,300, 41.4% owned) → 15.20 DK points
Another extremely chalky play. He caught a TD, but with only three receptions, he didn’t break the slate. At 41% ownership, I needed 25+ points from Odunze to separate — 15 wasn’t enough.
Tight End – Juwan Johnson ($3,900, 20.0% owned) → 11.10 DK points
Solid role and volume (6 catches for 51 yards). He did his job as a value TE, but at 20% ownership and without a touchdown, he didn’t swing lineups.
FLEX – Kenneth Walker III ($5,800, 34.0% owned) → 18.00 DK points
Walker had two touchdowns and provided stability, but with one of the highest ownership percentages on the slate, he wasn’t a leverage piece. His 18 points were good but not slate-breaking.
Defense – Packers DST ($3,700, 12.8% owned) → 8.00 DK points
An okay result: two sacks, one interception, and holding Cleveland to 13 points. But in GPPs, I really want a DST that can hit 15+ with turnovers or a defensive TD. This score was “fine,” but not a difference-maker.
📉 Why the Lineup Failed
- CeeDee Lamb Bust at Chalk – 0 points from the most expensive/highest-owned WR destroyed my ceiling.
- Overstacking One Game – I built heavily around DAL/CHI, but the scoring consolidated to Caleb + secondary pieces, while Lamb cratered. The stack didn’t “all hit together.”
- Too Much Chalk – Odunze (41%), Lamb (36%), Walker (34%), Javonte (20%), Johnson (20%). When this many popular players only score “okay,” I’m stuck in the middle of the field.
- Lack of Ceiling from RBs – Both Williams and Etienne were serviceable but not explosive. Without 25+ from an RB, I couldn’t climb.
- No Leverage Bring-Backs – Chicago hit, but I didn’t have Buffalo pieces last week. This week, I missed on other correlated games (like SEA stacks with JSN/Metcalf).
🏆 Lesson for Future Builds
Pair ceiling QBs with multiple correlated pieces, but also add leverage bring-backs or low-owned pivots that can break the slate.
Avoid loading up on chalk unless I’m certain the game environment will explode. One bust at 35–40% ownership kills the roster.
I need 3–4 players scoring 25–30+ DK points to have a real shot at the Milly. Here, only Caleb got there.
Here’s a Breakdown of My lineup and their Fantasy Points:
NFL $3.25M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]
- : points (QB)
- : points (RB)
- : points (RB)
- : points (WR)
- : points (WR)
- : points (WR)
- : points (TE)
- : points (Flex)
- : points (DST)
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The NFL $3.25M Fantasy Football Millionaire winning Lineup
On to Week 4 we go!
Watch this Space!