π Hey, Let’s Go!, Let’s win this Monday Night Double Header!
Tuesday recap from Monday slates will be out on Teusday afternoon below:
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Snuggle up in your favorite chair and grab some popcorn and your favorite drink, because this game will be fun to watch!
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Hereβs My Criteria for Quarterback:
1) Can they put up 325 passing yards
2) Can they throw for 3 TDs (When you add criteria 1 and 2 together, that gets me to 28 DK points)
3) Can they rush for 20 yards if so (All 3 criteria together put me over 30 DK points
I landed on Geno Smith being the guy in Week 3 even though he will be high-owned by the field. I’ll eat the chalk, he can get there with his legs as well as passing. He has 2 great receivers to pass too.

Winning a double header often requires thinking outside the box, and I construct rosters with a target outcome of 214 points.
The success of this approach variesβsometimes it proves effective, while other times it doesn’t. But, I am playing for first place. If you’re curious about what I mean by this, check out this site for further details.. “Playing For Firstβ in NFL.”
Side Note: I like to feature the running QB over the Pocket Passer in double headers.
Afterall, I am going up against in the Double Header over 100,000 lineups. My lineup most be different to win.
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Here’s One of My Lineups in Week 4
Quarterback: Justin Fields ($5,500)
2025 Season Performance:
Justin Fields (QB, JETs) He remains the centerpiece of the Jetsβ offense, offering both rushing and passing upside. His dual-threat profile consistently raises his fantasy floor while maintaining slate-breaking ceiling potential.
Week 2 vs. [BUF]: Threw for 0 TD, finishing with 5 DK points despite limited passing yardage. He left this game early with concussion and missed week 3.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Fieldsβ ability to rack up rushing yards and touchdowns gives him access to 30+ point games. In tournaments, his rushing equity separates him from pocket passers.
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Running Backs: De’von Achane ($7,000) & Breece Hall ($5,700)
Running Back: De’von Achane ($7,000)
2025 Season Performance:
De’von Achane (RB, MIA) Achane continues to dazzle with elite speed and explosiveness, making him one of the most efficient backs in the league. His big-play ability allows him to score from anywhere on the field.
Week 3 vs. [BUF]: Exploded for 16.1 DK points on chunk plays and receptions.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Few players can house-call from 60+ yards like Achane. If he breaks a long touchdown and adds volume, heβs instantly a GPP winner.
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Running Back: Breece Hall ($5,700)
2025 Season Performance
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ) Hallβs workhorse role with the Jets ensures a steady floor in touches, while his explosiveness offers a high ceiling.
Week 3 vs. [TB]: Logged 9.2 DK points, but usage remained strong with 9 attempts and 6 targets.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Hallβs three-down profile keeps him in line for red-zone carries and receiving work. A multi-touchdown outing makes him a slate-breaker.
Wide Receivers: Tyreek Hill ($6,500), Garrett Wilson ($6,200), Courtland Sutton ($6,100)
Wide Receiver: Tyreek Hill ($6,500)
2025 Season Performance
Tyreek Hill (WR MIA) Hill remains one of the most feared wideouts in football with unmatched speed and YAC ability.
Week 3 vs. [BUF]: Posted 15.9 DK points in a quieter game, but still demanded double-digit targets.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Hillβs 40-point upside is unrivaled. If he connects on multiple deep shots, heβs the WR that breaks the slate.
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Wide Receiver: Garrett Wilson ($6,200)
2025 Season Performance
Garrett Wilson (WR, Jets) Wilson has settled in as Fieldsβ WR1 in New York, combining elite route running with steady target volume.
Week 3 vs. [TB]: Scored 24.4 DK points. His is a explosive downfield option for the Jets, proving his consistency and threat for big points.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Wilsonβs volume ensures a high floor, and if he adds touchdowns, heβs capable of pushing past 25+ points.
Wide Receiver: Courtland Sutton ($6,100)
2025 Season Performance
Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN) Sutton remains Denverβs top outside target, giving the Broncos size and contested-catch upside in the red zone.
Week 3 vs. [LAC]: Notched 26.8 DK points on strong target usage and 100 yard performance.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
Suttonβs touchdown equity and big-body profile make him a strong tournament WR, especially if Denver trails and leans pass-heavy.
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Tight End: Mike Gesicki ($2,800)
2025 Season Performance
Mike Gesicki (TE, CIN) Gesicki plays a supporting role but offers sneaky red-zone potential as a mismatch tight end.
Week 3 vs. [MIN]: Limited production (1.6 DK points), but ran key routes in scoring situations.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
At near-minimum salary, Gesicki needs only one touchdown to smash value and open salary flexibility for studs elsewhere.
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FLEX: Running Back : J.K. Dobbins ($5,800)
2025 Season Performance
JK Dobbins (WR, DEN) Dobbins is carving out steady usage in his offense, balancing rushing and receiving opportunities.
Week 3 vs. [LAC]: Put up 15.3 DK points on balanced touches, 1 TD and 2 targets.
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
When Dobbins finds the end zone twice, his price tag becomes a steal, making him a FLEX option with upside. He should be able to run all over his opponent in this one.
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Defense/Special Teams: Denver Broncos ($3,200)
2025 Season Performance
Buffalo Bills (DST) Denverβs defense has been opportunistic, generating sacks and turnovers while keeping opponents in check.
Week 3 vs. [LAC]: Added 9 DK points behind strong pass-rush pressure. 1 INT 1 DFR and 5 sacks
Why He Can Win You the Double Header
A defensive score or multiple turnovers would vault them into tournament-winning territory. CIN QB has already in this young season thrown 5 INTs
β Why This Lineup Can Win tonight
This build balances explosive ceiling with steady volume. Fields pairs with Garrett Wilson for a rushing/passing combo stack, while Tyreek Hill provides slate-breaking speed. Achane and Hall lock in explosive RB upside, with Dobbins adding balance in the FLEX. Sutton offers red-zone scoring potential, while Gesickiβs cheap TE salary makes him a sneaky touchdown-dependent tournament play.
The Broncosβ DST brings turnover equity, completing a lineup where every player has a path to 20+ points and multiple have 30+ ceilings β exactly the kind of construction needed to capture the winning lineup.
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MONDAY RECAP
How I did Boom or Bust; βTuesday Morning Quarterbackingβ
Hello, all itβs a Monday and time to look back and say to myself, what I shouldβve, couldβve, and wouldβve done differently, as a DFS player.
I used to spend most of my time looking forward to the next slate, the next season, and so forth. I find it equally important to stop, take a breath, and start looking back at the process that led me to a winning or losing lineup.
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Here are my thoughts on this lineup.
Quarterback β Justin Fields ($5,500, 41.1% owned) β 28.14 DK points
Fields was outstanding β a rushing touchdown, over 80 rushing yards, and solid passing efficiency. He did everything I could ask for in a GPP quarterback. Unfortunately, his massive 41% ownership meant everyone else benefited too. Even with 28 DK points, Fields didnβt create leverage or uniqueness in a chalk-heavy lineup.
Running Back 1 β DeβVon Achane ($7,000, 86.9% owned) β 17.10 DK points
Achane was the chalk of the slate β and he was fine, not great. Nearly 100 rushing yards and a touchdown were solid, but he didnβt break off the long house call Iβve come to expect. With nearly 87% of the field playing him, this was a βkeep paceβ result, not a winning one. I needed him to explode for 30+ to justify that ownership.
Running Back 2 β Breece Hall ($5,700, 57.1% owned) β 16.10 DK points
Hallβs role was strong, but his ceiling wasnβt. He saw plenty of touches yet couldnβt find the end zone. When paired with Achane in the same game, his upside was further capped β oneβs success limited the other. Both scoring in the mid-teens made this RB pairing solid for cash, but weak for GPPs.
Wide Receiver 1 β Courtland Sutton ($6,100, 65.7% owned) β 19.10 DK points
Sutton delivered with a touchdown and 80 yards, but once again, ownership crushed the impact. At nearly 66%, this wasnβt a leverage play. He performed well, but not enough to separate me from the field. To truly gain leverage, I needed a lower-owned Broncos receiver or tight end to stack with the defense.
Wide Receiver 2 β Tyreek Hill ($6,500, 61.8% owned) β 12.70 DK points
Hillβs modest 12.7 points were one of the key reasons the lineup stalled. Despite a high-total game, he didnβt hit a long touchdown or the 100-yard bonus. At over 60% ownership, this was a landmine. Chalk WRs at that salary need to post 25+ β anything less drags me down.
Wide Receiver 3 β Garrett Wilson ($6,200, 75.8% owned) β 20.20 DK points
Wilson had a solid outing with a touchdown and over 80 yards. But just like the others, ownership was the killer. At 75%, everyone had him. Even with a decent performance, it didnβt provide leverage. He became a neutral play in a field full of duplicates.
Tight End β Mike Gesicki ($2,900, 24.9% owned) β 1.80 DK points
This was the fatal blow. Gesicki gave me nothing β one catch for eight yards. In a week where several cheap tight ends scored double digits, his near-zero result killed all momentum. I needed touchdown equity at this price, and instead got a dead roster spot.
FLEX β J.K. Dobbins ($5,800, 67.8% owned) β 14.50 DK points
Dobbins was another midrange chalk play who performed fine but not great. 101 rushing yards was impressive, but without a touchdown or passing involvement, he didnβt provide tournament-winning upside. Combined with other popular plays, he kept my lineup competitive β but not unique.
Defense β Broncos DST ($3,200, 67.7% owned) β 10.00 DK points
Denverβs defense dominated the Bengals in real life, but in DFS, 10 points from a chalky defense doesnβt cut it. I needed a defensive touchdown or double-digit turnovers/sacks to swing GPPs. While they did their job, they didnβt provide separation.
Hereβs a Breakdown of My lineup and their Fantasy Points:
π Why the Lineup Failed
- Chalk Overload β Every player except Gesicki was 40%+ owned. Thatβs fine for cash games, but death for GPPs. There was zero differentiation.
- No Ceiling Explosions β Fields was strong, but nobody else hit 25+. I needed three or more players over 25 DK points to compete for the Milly.
- Negative Correlation in RB Stack β Playing both Achane and Hall capped my upside in the same game environment. Only one could truly hit.
- Tight End Bust β Gesickiβs 1.8 was the nail in the coffin. In a GPP, a zero or near-zero at TE makes recovery nearly impossible.
- Duplicated Game Stack β The NYJβMIA game was the most targeted of the slate. Every piece I had from it was popular, leaving no leverage or uniqueness.
π Lesson for Future Builds
- Balance Chalk and Leverage. I can play Fields or Achane, but not both with five other high-owned pieces. Mix in 2β3 contrarian pivots with 10% ownership or less.
- Game Script Diversity. Avoid overloading a single popular game. Spread exposure to different high-total spots with lower ownership.
- Prioritize Ceiling. Mid-teens scores across my lineup wonβt win β aim for players capable of 30+.
- Find Low-Owned Differentiators. A cheap WR or DST at sub-5% ownership who hits 15β20 points is how I climb in large GPPs.
- Donβt Play GPPs Like Cash. Safe plays and chalky correlations can min-cash but wonβt win. GPPs demand volatility and risk.
This lineup was structurally sound but too safe and too popular. I correctly identified the best games β but so did everyone else. In GPPs, βrightβ isnβt enough β I have to be different and right at the same time.
NFL $250K Play Action [$25K to 1st, Single Entry] (Mon)
- Justin Fields: 28.1 points (QB)
- DeβVon Achane: 17.1 points (RB)
- Breece Hall: 16.1 points (RB)
- Courtland Sutton: 19.1 points (WR)
- Tyreek Hill: 12.7 points (WR)
- Garrett Wilson: 20.2 points (WR)
- Mike Gesicki: 1.8 points (TE)
- JK Dobbins: 14.5 points (Flex)
- Broncos: 10 points (DST)
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NFL $80K Huddle [$10K to 1st, Single Entry] (Mon) winning Lineup

On to Week 5 we go!
Watch this Space!


