🏈 Hey, Let’s Go!, I’m thinking Jets vs Dallas
Sunday recap from Sunday slates will be out on Monday afternoon below:
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Snuggle up in your favorite chair and grab some popcorn and your favorite drink, because this game will be fun to watch!
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Here’s My Criteria for Quarterback:
1) Can they put up 325 passing yards
2) Can they throw for 3 TDs (When you add criteria 1 and 2 together, that gets me to 28 DK points)
3) Can they rush for 20 yards if so (All 3 criteria together put me over 30 DK points
I landed on Justin Fields being the guy in Week 5 even though he will be high-owned by the field. I’ll eat the chalk, he can get there with his legs as well as passing. He has 2 great receivers to pass too.
Justin Fields QB, Jets
Winning the Play-Action often requires thinking outside the box, and I construct rosters with a target outcome of 214 points.
The success of this approach varies—sometimes it proves effective, while other times it doesn’t. But, I am playing for first place. If you’re curious about what I mean by this, check out this site for further details.. “Playing For First’ in NFL.”
Side Note: I feel very uncomfortable about the lineup below, but that is a good thing, because if I am right I have a great chance to hit for first place.
Afterall, I am going up against in the Play-Action over 300,000 lineups. My lineup most be different to win.
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Here’s One of My Lineups in Week 5
Quarterback: Justin Fields – 20.9 ($5,600)
2025 Season Performance:
Justin Fields ( QB Jets) has embraced the Jets’ new offensive identity, thriving as both a passer and a runner. His poise in the pocket and explosive rushing ability continue to define his fantasy ceiling every week.
Week 4 vs. Dolphins: 20-of-27 for 226 yards and 1 touchdown, plus 7 carries for 81 yards and a 43-yard rushing TD. Fields kept New York competitive with chunk plays on the ground and accuracy through the air.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
Dual-threat upside and efficiency give Fields 30-point potential. Stacked with Garrett Wilson, every score compounds his ceiling.
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Running Backs:Omarion Hampton ($6,500) & Breece Hall ($5,600)
Running Back: Omarion Hampton – 16.8 ($6,500)
2025 Season Performance:
Omarion Hampton (RB LAC) has rapidly become the focal point of Los Angeles’s ground game, flashing elite burst and contact balance behind an improving offensive line.
Week 4 vs. Giants: 12 carries for 128 yards (10.7 YPC) and 1 TD, plus 5 receptions for 37 yards. Hampton shredded New York’s front with explosive runs and showcased soft hands in the passing attack.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
He’s a true bell-cow. Elite efficiency and passing-game usage let him crush value even without multiple TDs.
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Running Back: Breece Hall – 12.7 ($5,600)
2025 Season Performance
Breece Hall (RB, Jets) Hall continues to command New York’s backfield, offering a perfect mix of speed and patience. His ability to turn any touch into a big gain makes him a weekly GPP threat.
Week 4 vs. Miami: 14 carries for 81 yards and 5 catches for 30 yards. Hall broke multiple tackles and provided consistent yardage even in negative game script.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
Hall brings 100-yard all-purpose upside with breakaway speed. When he hits the bonus or scores, he’s a top-tier GPP play.
Wide Receivers: George Pickens ($6,600), Garrett Wilson ($6,100), Quentin Johnston ($5,700)
Wide Receiver: George Pickens -19.5 ($6,600)
2025 Season Performance
George Pickens (WR Cowboys) has blossomed into one of the league’s premier perimeter weapons, using physicality and body control to dominate contested catches.
Week 4 vs. Packers: 8 receptions on 11 targets for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns. Pickens torched Green Bay’s corners on vertical routes, producing a highlight-reel performance.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
The alpha role and deep-ball connection give him massive ceiling potential. Perfect leverage pivot from chalkier WRs.
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Wide Receiver: Garrett Wilson -19.0 ($6,100)
2025 Season Performance
Garrett Wilson (WR, Jets) Wilson remains Justin Fields’s go-to option, combining elite route running with dependable hands. He’s the engine that keeps the Jets’ passing game dynamic.
Week 4 vs. Miami: 6 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD on 8 targets. Wilson found separation all afternoon, capping his day with a crisp route and touchdown grab from Fields.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
He’s the featured target in the Jets’ offense. Correlation with Fields delivers a powerful stack that can produce 50+ combined DK points.
Wide Receiver: Quentin Johnston – 19.9 ($5,700)
2025 Season Performance
Quentin Johnston (WR, Chargers) Johnston has emerged as a volume-driven weapon in the Chargers’ air attack, stretching defenses and thriving on play-action opportunities.
Week 4 vs. Giants: 8 catches on 13 targets for 98 yards and a touchdown. Johnston’s blend of size and acceleration made him a nightmare matchup downfield.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
Heavy volume plus red-zone usage. He complements Hampton in a correlated mini-stack for Chargers exposure.
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Tight End: Jake Ferguson -15.6 ($4,800)
2025 Season Performance
Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys) Ferguson has carved out a steady role as Dak Prescott’s safety valve and red-zone outlet. His reliability makes him one of the most consistent tight ends in football.
Week 4 vs. Packers: 7 targets, 7 receptions for 40 yards and a touchdown. Ferguson showcased soft hands and route precision, converting key third downs and finishing drives.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
Provides mid-range TE stability with real touchdown equity. Perfect salary-efficient piece for balance.
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FLEX: RUNNING BACK – Emari Demercado – 2.5 ($4,700)
2025 Season Performance
Emari Demercado (RB Cardinals) – Demercado remains a situational weapon for Arizona, valued for his versatility on third downs and red-zone packages.
Week 4 vs. Seahawks: 2 rushes for 8 yards and 2 receptions for 13 yards with a touchdown. He capitalized on limited touches by finding the end zone through disciplined route running.
Why He Can Win You the Play-Action
Low-owned salary saver with proven red-zone role. Even one TD turns him into optimal filler value. Trey Benson the feature back for the Cardinals is on IR. Demercado gets a chance to carry the ball.
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Defense/Special Teams: Arizona Cardinals Defense – 7.3 ($3,600)
2025 Season Performance
Cardinals Defense (DST) Arizona’s defense continues to bring relentless pressure off the edge and opportunistic playmaking in the secondary.
Week 4 vs. Seahawks: 3 sacks and 1 fumble recovery in a 23-20 loss. The unit generated consistent disruption and held Seahawks’s passing game in check.
Why They Can Win You the Play-Action
Consistent pressure and turnover potential. Defensive scores decide tournaments—this unit has the chops to deliver one.
✅ Why This Lineup Can Win the Play-Action
This lineup leverages
This roster blends Fields–Wilson stacking upside with workhorse running backs (Hampton & Hall) and elite wide-receiver ceilings (Pickens & Johnston).
Ferguson delivers steady TE value.
Demercado offers cheap touchdown leverage.
Cardinals DST brings sack-and-turnover potential.
Every player has a path to 20+ DK points — and multiple options carry 30-point ceilings — creating a balanced, explosive lineup capable of capturing the $800K Play-Action tournament.
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MONDAY RECAP
How I did Boom or Bust; “Monday Morning Quarterbacking”
Hello, all it’s a Monday and time to look back and say to myself, what I should’ve, could’ve, and would’ve done differently, as a DFS player.
I used to spend most of my time looking forward to the next slate, the next season, and so forth. I find it equally important to stop, take a breath, and start looking back at the process that led me to a winning or losing lineup.
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Here are my thoughts on this lineup.
Quarterback – Justin Fields ($5,600, 26.8% owned) → 25.92 DK points
Fields did his part. Nearly 300 passing yards, two touchdowns, and a pair of two-point conversions gave him a strong fantasy output. He even chipped in some rushing yardage for a solid floor. The problem wasn’t Fields — it was that everyone had him. At over 25% ownership, he didn’t differentiate and without a second stacked pass-catcher going off, his production couldn’t carry the lineup to the top.
Running Back 1 – Ollie Hampton ($6,500, 17.7% owned) → 13.00 DK points
Hampton was fine but uninspiring. Despite six receptions, he didn’t find the end zone and was inefficient on the ground. His 70 total yards provided a decent floor but no ceiling. In tournaments, mid-range RBs without touchdown equity are lineup anchors — they weigh me down while others break the slate with 25+ point backs.
Running Back 2 – Breece Hall ($5,600, 26.6% owned) → 21.50 DK points
Hall had a strong game, topping 100 rushing yards and adding 42 receiving yards. But the fumble and lack of multiple touchdowns kept him from true GPP impact. He was solid, not special — and again, too popular to be myleverage piece. When paired with Fields, his success also capped Fields’ upside since they were competing for red-zone production.
Wide Receiver 1 – Quentin Johnston ($5,700, 26.4% owned) → 7.90 DK points
Johnston continues to underwhelm. Four short catches, 49 total yards, and a lost fumble — no big plays, no touchdowns. With nearly 26% ownership, this was a disastrous result. I needed him to be the primary piece in a Chargers comeback script, but the offense sputtered against Washington and took my lineup with it.
Wide Receiver 2 – George Pickens ($6,600, 26.4% owned) → 13.70 DK points
Pickens got there with a touchdown, but that was about it. Two catches total just won’t cut it in DFS. His low target volume made him a fragile play — even though he scored, his production plateaued at a middling number that didn’t push me up the leaderboard.
Wide Receiver 3 – Garrett Wilson ($6,100, 38.5% owned) → 19.10 DK points
Wilson was productive but, like many others in this lineup, way too chalky. At nearly 40% ownership, a 19-point performance was effectively neutralized by the field. He did correlate with Fields, which was good process, but he didn’t deliver the true ceiling game (100+ yards, multiple TDs) required for a Milly Maker spike.
Tight End – Jake Ferguson ($4,800, 28.3% owned) → 23.90 DK points
Ferguson was the breakout star. Two touchdowns and strong target volume made him one of the best TE plays on the slate. Unfortunately, because he was paired with Fields and Wilson in a highly owned game stack, even his ceiling didn’t differentiate my build — it just kept me competitive with thousands of similar lineups.
FLEX – Emari Demercado ($4,700, 3.3% owned) → 7.10 DK points
This was my low-owned leverage spot, but it didn’t pan out. Despite decent rushing yardage (81), the lost fumble and lack of involvement in the passing game left him at single digits. If Demercado had popped for 20+ at 3% ownership, this lineup could’ve soared. Instead, he fizzled and erased my only real contrarian edge.
Defense – Cardinals DST ($3,600, 12.1% owned) → 6.00 DK points
Average output. They forced one turnover and had a couple of sacks, but didn’t generate any splash plays. In a game that stayed close, the defense never had the chance to rack up scoring plays. In GPPs, I want volatility and turnover potential — not “fine.”
📉 Why the Lineup Failed
- Overstacked the Chalk Game – The DAL–NYJ game was the most popular of the slate. Fields, Wilson, Ferguson, and Hall all performed decently, but not enough to separate from massive ownership overlap.
- No Ceiling from WRs – Johnston (7.9) and Pickens (13.7) couldn’t match the 25–30 point WR scores seen from winning lineups. The WR group lacked a slate-breaker.
- Low Leverage – Every player except Demercado was 17%+ owned. There was no unique angle or contrarian combo to climb the field.
- RB/Stack Conflict – Playing both Fields and Hall limited each other’s upside since they cannibalized touchdowns.
- Dead FLEX Slot – Demercado’s failure at 3% ownership eliminated your only hope for differentiation.
🏆 Lesson for Future Builds
- Don’t overstack the chalk game. Correlate, but mix in leverage plays from lower-owned offenses.
- Balance ownership construction. Two to three chalk plays max — then pivot to low-owned high-upside pieces.
- Prioritize ceiling WRs. WRs win tournaments; without a 30+ point receiver, you’re drawing dead.
- Use leverage in correlation. If you play a chalk QB stack, use a low-owned bring-back or contrarian FLEX to make it unique.
- Don’t settle for “good.” Every player needs 25+ point potential. Safe doesn’t win the Milly — spikes do.
This lineup was competent but too crowded with chalk and lacked a single contrarian breakout. In GPPs, that’s the difference between cashing and contending.
Here’s a Breakdown of My Fantasy Points:
NFL $800K Play-Action [20 Entry Max] [$75K to 1st]
- Justin Fields: 25.9 points (QB)
- Ollie Hampton: 13 points (RB)
- Breece Hall : 21.5 points (RB)
- Quentin Johnston : 7.9 points (WR)
- George Pickens : 13.7 points (WR)
- Garrett Wilson: 19.1 points (WR)
- Jake Ferguson: 23.9 points (TE)
- Emari Demercado: 7.1 points (Flex)
- Cardinals: 6 points (DST)
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The NFL $800K Play-Action [20 Entry Max] winning Lineup
On to Week 6 we go!
Watch this Space!