🏈 Hey, Let’s Go!, I’m thinking TEN vs NE
Sunday recap from Sunday slates will be out on Monday afternoon below:
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Snuggle up in your favorite chair and grab some popcorn and your favorite drink, because this game will be fun to watch!
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Here’s My Criteria for Quarterback:
1) Can they put up 325 passing yards
2) Can they throw for 3 TDs (When you add criteria 1 and 2 together, that gets me to 28 DK points)
3) Can they rush for 20 yards if so (All 3 criteria together put me over 30 DK points
I landed on Drake Maye being the guy in Week 7 I think he will be Low-owned by the field. Plus, he can get there with his legs as well as passing. He has 1 great receivers to pass too.
Drake Maye QB, NE
Winning the Milly Maker often requires thinking outside the box, and I construct rosters with a target outcome of 214 points.
The success of this approach varies—sometimes it proves effective, while other times it doesn’t. But, I am playing for first place. If you’re curious about what I mean by this, check out this site for further details.. “Playing For First’ in NFL.”
Side Note: I feel very uncomfortable about the lineup below, but that is a good thing, because if I am right I have a great chance to hit for first place.
Afterall, I am going up against in the Milly Maker over 300,000 lineups. My lineup most be different to win.
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Here’s One of My Lineups in Week 7
Quarterback: Drake Maye – 23.2 ($6,300)
2025 Season Performance:
Drake Maye (QB, Patriots) continues to progress as New England’s franchise cornerstone. His command of the short and intermediate passing game gives the offense rhythm, while his athleticism extends plays under pressure.
Week 6 vs. Titans: 25-of-36 for 222 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 62 rushing yards. Maye’s dual-threat performance kept Tennessee off balance, flashing pocket awareness and improvisation when plays broke down.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Rushing production plus red-zone precision gives Maye elite DFS upside. His growing comfort in Bill O’Brien’s system creates a path to 30-plus DK points when stacked with his receivers.
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Running Backs:Jacory Croskey-Merritt – ($6,100) & Quinshon Judkins ($6,000)
Running Back: Jacory Croskey-Merritt – 4.20 ($6,100)
2025 Season Performance:
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, Commanders) has filled in admirably in Washington’s committee backfield, showing good contact balance and burst in space.
Week 6 vs. Cowboys: 9 carries for 33 yards and 1 reception for -1 yard. It was a quiet outing against an elite Dallas front seven that controlled the line of scrimmage.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Low ownership and pass-game role offer leverage in shootout scripts. When Washington plays with tempo, Croskey-Merritt’s versatility can spike 20 points through receptions and red-zone looks.
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Running Back: Quinshon Judkins – 26.4 ($6,000)
2025 Season Performance
Quinshon Judkins (RB, Browns) has taken full control of Cleveland’s rushing attack, blending power and patience behind one of the league’s top O-lines.
Week 6 vs. Dolphins: 18 carries for 84 yards and 3 touchdowns. Judkins feasted near the goal line, finishing drives with authority and securing a three-score statement performance.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Workhorse volume plus goal-line monopoly = slate-breaking upside. Judkins’ red-zone role gives him 30-point potential in any matchup.
Wide Receivers: Romeo Doubs – ($5,000), Courtland Sutton – ($5,900), Stefon Diggs – ($5,600)
Romeo Doubs – 13.2 ($5,000)
2025 Season Performance
Romeo Doubs (WR, Packers) remains Jordan Love’s most trusted chain-mover, using crisp routes to consistently find space against zone coverage.
Week 6 vs. Cardinals: 6 receptions for 72 yards on 9 targets. Doubs delivered steady mid-range production, keeping drives alive with key third-down conversions.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Reliable target share and touchdown potential in Green Bay’s play-action game make Doubs an ideal mid-tier tournament stabilizer.
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Wide Receiver: Courtland Sutton – 16.7 ($5,900)
2025 Season Performance
Courtland Sutton (WR, Broncos) has rediscovered his red-zone dominance, using size and catch-point strength to outmuscle defenders.
Week 6 vs. Giants: 6 receptions for 87 yards and a 2-point conversion. Sutton produced consistent chunk gains on boundary routes and served as Denver’s primary scoring option.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Alpha-receiver upside with low volatility. Sutton’s deep-ball and red-zone connection with his QB gives him 25-plus DK-point ceiling potential.
Wide Receiver: Stefon Diggs – 13.9 ($5,600)
2025 Season Performance
Stefon Diggs (WR, Patriots) has become the security blanket for Drake Maye, commanding volume on quick-hitting routes and timing concepts.
Week 6 vs. Titans: 7 receptions for 69 yards. Diggs’ route precision repeatedly beat Tennessee’s coverage, setting up both of Maye’s TD drives.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
High-target floor and proven chemistry with his rookie QB make Diggs a perfect correlation play. A TD or 100-yard bonus puts him into must-have territory.
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Tight End: Zach Ertz – 12.7 ($3,800)
2025 Season Performance
Zach Ertz (TE, Commanders) continues to provide veteran reliability for Washington, thriving on short-area option routes.
Week 6 vs. Cowboys: 3 receptions for 37 yards and 1 touchdown. Ertz worked the seams and soft zones to post another productive outing.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
Salary relief with TD equity. Ertz’s role near the goal line gives him legitimate 15-plus point upside in balanced lineups.
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FLEX: RUNNING BACK – Javonte Williams – 21.8 ($6,700)
2025 Season Performance
Javonte Williams (RB, Commanders) displayed his best form of the season, combining power with surprising burst in space.
Week 6 vs. Cowboys: 23 carries for 116 yards and 1 touchdown plus 2 receptions for 16 yards. Williams imposed his will between the tackles, controlling tempo and racking up yards after contact.
Why He Can Win You the Milly
True workhorse usage and TD role in a competitive offense. Williams’ volume gives him 25-plus point upside with a strong floor.
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Defense/Special Teams: Kansas City Chiefs – 13.0 ($3,700)
2025 Season Performance
The Chiefs’ defense remains one of the most aggressive in football, fueled by relentless pressure and opportunistic secondary play.
Week 6 vs. Raiders: 1 sack, 1 defensive fumble recovery. Kansas City limited explosive plays and converted turnovers into field-position advantages.
Why They Can Win You the Milly
Consistent pressure and takeaway potential. Defenses that generate short fields and defensive scores swing tournaments — KC always brings that volatility.
✅ Why This Lineup Can Win the Milly
This lineup thrives on correlated leverage and balanced ceiling potential across all positions:This roster mixes Maye–Diggs correlation with volume-driven backs (Judkins & Williams) and reliable mid-tier receivers (Sutton & Doubs). Ertz provides cheap TD equity, while KC DST offers sack/turnover upside.
Every player carries a 20-plus DK-point path — with multiple 30-point ceilings — building the perfect balance of ceiling, correlation, and contrarian leverage for a Milly-Maker-winning lineup.
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MONDAY RECAP
How I did Boom or Bust; “Monday Morning Quarterbacking”
Hello, all it’s a Monday and time to look back and say to myself, what I should’ve, could’ve, and would’ve done differently, as a DFS player.
I used to spend most of my time looking forward to the next slate, the next season, and so forth. I find it equally important to stop, take a breath, and start looking back at the process that led me to a winning or losing lineup.
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Here’s a Breakdown of My lineup and their Fantasy Points:
Here are my thoughts on this lineup.
Quarterback – Justin Fields ($5,600, 26.8% owned) → 25.92 DK points
Fields did his part. Nearly 300 passing yards, two touchdowns, and a pair of two-point conversions gave him a strong fantasy output. He even chipped in some rushing yardage for a solid floor. The problem wasn’t Fields — it was that everyone had him. At over 25% ownership, he didn’t differentiate and without a second stacked pass-catcher going off, his production couldn’t carry the lineup to the top.
Running Back 1 – Ollie Hampton ($6,500, 17.7% owned) → 13.00 DK points
Hampton was fine but uninspiring. Despite six receptions, he didn’t find the end zone and was inefficient on the ground. His 70 total yards provided a decent floor but no ceiling. In tournaments, mid-range RBs without touchdown equity are lineup anchors — they weigh me down while others break the slate with 25+ point backs.
Running Back 2 – Breece Hall ($5,600, 26.6% owned) → 21.50 DK points
Hall had a strong game, topping 100 rushing yards and adding 42 receiving yards. But the fumble and lack of multiple touchdowns kept him from true GPP impact. He was solid, not special — and again, too popular to be myleverage piece. When paired with Fields, his success also capped Fields’ upside since they were competing for red-zone production.
Wide Receiver 1 – Quentin Johnston ($5,700, 26.4% owned) → 7.90 DK points
Johnston continues to underwhelm. Four short catches, 49 total yards, and a lost fumble — no big plays, no touchdowns. With nearly 26% ownership, this was a disastrous result. I needed him to be the primary piece in a Chargers comeback script, but the offense sputtered against Washington and took my lineup with it.
Wide Receiver 2 – George Pickens ($6,600, 26.4% owned) → 13.70 DK points
Pickens got there with a touchdown, but that was about it. Two catches total just won’t cut it in DFS. His low target volume made him a fragile play — even though he scored, his production plateaued at a middling number that didn’t push me up the leaderboard.
Wide Receiver 3 – Garrett Wilson ($6,100, 38.5% owned) → 19.10 DK points
Wilson was productive but, like many others in this lineup, way too chalky. At nearly 40% ownership, a 19-point performance was effectively neutralized by the field. He did correlate with Fields, which was good process, but he didn’t deliver the true ceiling game (100+ yards, multiple TDs) required for a Milly Maker spike.
Tight End – Jake Ferguson ($4,800, 28.3% owned) → 23.90 DK points
Ferguson was the breakout star. Two touchdowns and strong target volume made him one of the best TE plays on the slate. Unfortunately, because he was paired with Fields and Wilson in a highly owned game stack, even his ceiling didn’t differentiate my build — it just kept me competitive with thousands of similar lineups.
FLEX – Emari Demercado ($4,700, 3.3% owned) → 7.10 DK points
This was my low-owned leverage spot, but it didn’t pan out. Despite decent rushing yardage (81), the lost fumble and lack of involvement in the passing game left him at single digits. If Demercado had popped for 20+ at 3% ownership, this lineup could’ve soared. Instead, he fizzled and erased my only real contrarian edge.
Defense – Cardinals DST ($3,600, 12.1% owned) → 6.00 DK points
Average output. They forced one turnover and had a couple of sacks, but didn’t generate any splash plays. In a game that stayed close, the defense never had the chance to rack up scoring plays. In GPPs, I want volatility and turnover potential — not “fine.”
📉 Why the Lineup Failed
- Overstacked the Chalk Game – The DAL–NYJ game was the most popular of the slate. Fields, Wilson, Ferguson, and Hall all performed decently, but not enough to separate from massive ownership overlap.
- No Ceiling from WRs – Johnston (7.9) and Pickens (13.7) couldn’t match the 25–30 point WR scores seen from winning lineups. The WR group lacked a slate-breaker.
- Low Leverage – Every player except Demercado was 17%+ owned. There was no unique angle or contrarian combo to climb the field.
- RB/Stack Conflict – Playing both Fields and Hall limited each other’s upside since they cannibalized touchdowns.
- Dead FLEX Slot – Demercado’s failure at 3% ownership eliminated your only hope for differentiation.
🏆 Lesson for Future Builds
- Don’t overstack the chalk game. Correlate, but mix in leverage plays from lower-owned offenses.
- Balance ownership construction. Two to three chalk plays max — then pivot to low-owned high-upside pieces.
- Prioritize ceiling WRs. WRs win tournaments; without a 30+ point receiver, you’re drawing dead.
- Use leverage in correlation. If you play a chalk QB stack, use a low-owned bring-back or contrarian FLEX to make it unique.
- Don’t settle for “good.” Every player needs 25+ point potential. Safe doesn’t win the Milly — spikes do.
This lineup was competent but too crowded with chalk and lacked a single contrarian breakout. In GPPs, that’s the difference between cashing and contending.
Here’s Breakdown of Fantasy Points:
- Drake May: 23.08 points (QB)
- J. Coroskey-Merritt: 4.28 points (RB)
- Quinshon. Judkin : 26.40 points (RB)
- Rico. Doubs : 13.20 points (WR)
- Courtland Sutton : 16.70 points (WR)
- Steph Diggs: 13.90 points (WR)
- Zach Ertz: 12.70 points (TE)
- Javonte Williams: 21.80 points (Flex)
- chiefs: 13.00 points (DST)
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NFL $2.75M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st] winning Lineup
On to Week 8 we go!
Watch this Space!